by Yogi Nelson
Welcome to the BlockchainAIForum
Introduction
Hollywood and Washington, D.C. share a common trait–they both exaggerate! Recently stable coin legislation was passed into law in Washington–our politicians labeled it genius. Is it? Let’s ask that question from the perspective of Visa and Mastercard–the global duopoly of credit cards.
What Is the Genius Act of 2025?
We begin by understanding the Genius Act. The Genius Act, formally known as the Stablecoin Oversight and Innovation Act, establishes a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins—digital currencies pegged to fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar. What does the Genius Act say:
Key provisions include:
– Stablecoin issuers must be licensed by the Federal Reserve or OCC
– Stablecoins must be 100% backed by cash or equivalent assets
– Monthly audits and public disclosures are required
– Consumer protections are explicitly outlined
– Banks and fintech firms can both issue stablecoins under federal supervision
The Genius Act is designed to provide legal certainty, encouraging both institutional adoption and consumer trust in U.S.-based stablecoins. If it succeeds, it might be worthy of its name.
Visa and Mastercard: The Legacy Model
Visa and Mastercard operate on an intermediated model. In essence, they are transaction toll booths, charging a small fee on every swipe, tap, or click.Their core revenues come from:
– Interchange fees charged to merchants for processing credit and debit card payments
– Network fees for facilitating cross-border transactions
– Fraud protection and authentication services
Why Stablecoins Are a Threat
Stablecoins offer a radically different value proposition:
– Instant settlement without intermediaries
– Lower fees—especially for cross-border payments
– 24/7 functionality with no dependence on banking hours
– Programmable money that can enforce rules, automate transactions, or manage subscriptions
With the Genius Act providing legal legitimacy, peer-to-peer payments, retail purchases, and international remittances using stablecoins could bypass traditional credit card rails altogether. This is akin to hotels v Airbnb, taxis to Uber, etc.
Business Model Disruption: The Risk to Visa and Mastercard
1. Revenue Erosion. If merchants and consumers adopt stablecoins for direct payments, interchange and processing fees could decline. Stablecoin transactions—especially over public blockchains—cut out the middleman.
2. Loss of Control Over Settlement. Credit card networks currently manage the full lifecycle of a transaction: authorization, clearing, settlement. Stablecoins shift settlement to blockchain, reducing the value-add of the traditional networks.
3. Emerging Competitors. Startups offering stablecoin wallets, Layer-2 scaling solutions, and DeFi integrations are becoming new challengers. In this environment, Visa and Mastercard may no longer be gatekeepers.
Strategic Response from the Giants
🔗 Integration with Blockchain Rails. Visa has piloted stablecoin settlement on Ethereum using USDC (Circle’s dollar-backed stablecoin). Mastercard has launched its Multi-Token Network to support digital assets.
🤝 Partnering with Crypto Firms. Both have entered partnerships with crypto companies like Coinbase, Binance, and Crypto.com to issue crypto-backed cards and offer fiat-to-stablecoin bridges.
🧾 Tokenized Settlements. Mastercard has explored tokenized bank deposits and blockchain-based remittances, hoping to stay relevant as money goes digital.
💼 Stablecoin Custody and Consulting
Visa and Mastercard could pivot to providing custodial services, stablecoin security layers, or consulting to central banks and financial institutions looking to adopt blockchain
The Cross-Border Payment Revolution
One of the most immediate impacts may be in international payments. Traditional card-based cross-border transactions are slow and expensive. Visa and Mastercard may be forced to rebuild their international payment models around blockchain rails or risk becoming obsolete in this niche. Stablecoins offer instant settlement with minimal fees. Not only do Visa and Mastercard face stablecoin challenges in this area, they must also deal with Ripple XRP and Stellar Lumens XLM.
Expect disruption in:
– Global e-commerce
– Freelancer payments
– Remittance corridors to developing countries
Privacy, Security, and Trust: A Remaining Edge?
Visa and Mastercard still have strong brand trust and robust fraud protection mechanisms. These features matter for both merchants and consumers. Stablecoins must match or exceed these protections to gain widespread adoption. However, if the Genius Act succeeds in establishing a secure and compliant ecosystem for stablecoins, that edge may erode over time.
What the Future May Hold
The Genius Act creates a legal bridge between traditional finance and blockchain-based payments. This opens the door for:
– Direct merchant payments in stablecoins
– Payroll disbursements via crypto wallets
– Loyalty programs powered by tokens
– “Tap to Pay” using stablecoin-enabled apps
If the Genius Act does create that bridge, Visa and Mastercard may need to reinvent themselves as digital infrastructure companies, offering value-added services such as fraud detection, identity verification, and compliance tools for stablecoin-based systems.
Final Thoughts
Visa and Mastercard have spent decades building the infrastructure of global payments. Perhaps they felt secure and comfortable in their duopoly positions. The Genius Act and the stablecoin revolution challenge the very foundation of their model. However, disruption does not necessarily mean extinction. Both Visa and Mastercard have deep pockets and talented staff and are embedded in the financial system. The real test is whether they evolve fast enough to embrace the blockchain-powered future, or whether they will be relegated to legacy status as the world transacts in tokens.
Until next time,
Yogi Nelson
Blockchain & AI Forum 